2015 Global Forecast by Center for Strategic & International Studies http://goo.gl/F7WyIT
PART 1: WHAT ROLEWILL DETERRENCE PLAY IN AMERICA’S NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY?
The Case for Deterrence
Kathleen H. Hicks
Rebuilding Credibility: Regional Perspectives
A conversation with Jon B. Alterman, Heather A. Conley, and Michael J. Green
Moderated by Stephanie Sanok Kostro
Why Deterrence Failed to Prevent Syrian Use of WMD
The Challenge of Deterring ISIS
Thomas M. Sanderson
PART 2: WHAT ARE THE IMPLICATIONS OF PUTIN’S NEW RUSSIA?
Russia’s Influence on Europe
Heather A. Conley
Andrew C. Kuchins
The Calculations of Russia’s Neighbors
A Test of Wills on Sanctions
Juna C. Zarate
Edward C. Chow
NATO’s Eastern Front
Andrew A. Michta
PART 3: HOW CAN THE UNITED STATES BEST EXERT INFLUENCE IN TODAY’S MIDDLE EAST?
Acting and Reacting in the Middle East
Jon B. Alterman
The Need for Better Civil-Military Planning
Anthony H. Cordesman
PART 4: IS THE REBALANCE TO ASIA SUSTAINABLE?
Asian Perceptions of the Rebalance
Michael J. Green and Zack Cooper
Keeping Focus on Korea
Economic Imperative in Southeast Asia
Ernest Z. Bower
The Long View on India
Richard M. Rossow
Maintaining the U.S.-Japan Alliance
Recalibrating on China
Christopher K. Johnson
PART 5: IS A COMPETING ECONOMIC ORDER EMERGING?
The Evolving Institutional Landscape
Matther P. Goodman
Strengthening the Existing Order
The Evolution of the Global Trading System
Geopolitical Instability and Energy Markets
Divergent Perspectives of the Democratic BRICS
A conversation with Carl Meacham, Jennifer G. Cooke, and Richard M. Rossow
Moderated by Amy Studdart
PART 6: WILL EBOLA EVOLVE FROM A HEALTH CRISIS TO AN ECONOMIC AND GOVERNANCE CRISIS?
The Trajectory of Ebola and our Response
J. Stephen Morrison
The Economic Impact of the Ebola Outbreak
Daniel F. Runde and Conor M. Savoy
Maintaining international security and pursuing American interests is more difficult now than perhaps at any time in history. The security environment that the United States faces is more complex, dynamic, and difficult to predict. At the same time, no domestic consensus exists on the purposes of American power and how best to pursue them. The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) will look ahead in this annual volume at the crises and opportunities that will likely arise in 2015, how best to deal with them, and what lasting effects they might leave for the next American administration and its allies around the world.