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As confusing as global affairs may seem at times, the behavior and policies of different countries can be reasonably easy to predict if you follow a method – and especially if you understand the implications of geography.
Predicting the behavior of people is much more difficult.
Difficult, but not impossible. Certain principles apply almost universally to the human race — including the hierarchy of loyalties that define identity and the different effects that wealth or poverty have on one’s long-term thinking.
Learn the principles that geopolitical futurists apply to predicting the events and trends that will define the world with these FREE slides.
Scenario Planning and Strategic Forecasting –By Jay Ogilvy Global Affairs January 7, 2015 (09:00 GMT)