Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

16 febrero, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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Maghreb rulers cling on

Le Monde diplomatique

Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia have old or sick rulers quite unrepresentative of the demographics of their countries. Their regimes are growing fragile and fear being ousted by force.

by Akram Belkaïd

Algeria has an aged, ailing president; Morocco, a king in poor health who is abroad much of the time; and Tunisia, a president so old and frail he spends just a few hours a day on state business. These men rule over 90 million people, 60% of them under 30 years old. Despite tough living conditions due to multiple socioeconomic problems, including an unemployment rate of 15-20%, the energy of the younger generations of these countries contrasts with the decrepitude of their leaders clinging on to power. Continuar leyendo →

16 febrero, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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The Global Risks Report 2019 (WEF)


World Economic Forum

Global Risks Report 2019

The world faced a growing number of complex and interconnected challenges in 2018. From climate change and slowing global growth to economic inequality, we will struggle if we do not work together in the face of these simultaneous challenges. The Global Risks Report 2019 provides an opportunity to place the global risk landscape into context at the beginning of the new year and identify priority areas for action in 2019.

Participating in the press conference will be:

Borge Brende, President of the World Economic Forum

Aengus Collins, Head of Global Risks and Geopolitical Agenda

Alison Martin, Group Chief Risk Officer, Zurich Insurance Group

John Drzik, President, Global Risk and Digital, Marsh

Moderated by:

Adrian Monck, Head of Public Engagement, Member of the Managing Board

LINK TO VIDEO (Jan 15, 2019)

The Global Risks Report 2019 is published against a backdrop of worrying geopolitical and geo-economic tensions. If unresolved, these tensions will hinder the world’s ability to deal with a growing range of collective challenges, from the mounting evidence of environmental degradation to the increasing disruptions of the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

The report presents the results of our latest Global Risks Perception Survey, in which nearly 1,000 decision-makers from the public sector, private sector, academia and civil society assess the risks facing the world. Nine out of 10 respondents expect worsening economic and political confrontations between major powers this year. Over a ten-year horizon, extreme weather and climate-change policy failures are seen as the gravest threats.

This year’s report includes another series of “what-if” Future Shocks that examine quantum computing, weather manipulation, monetary populism, emotionally responsive artificial intelligence and other potential risks. The theme of emotions is also addressed in a chapter on the human causes and effects of global risks; the chapter calls for greater action around rising levels of psychological strain across the world.


15 febrero, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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2019 Military Balance (IISS)

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Felipe Sahagún@sahagunfelipe

The Military Balance 2019: Defence budgets, weapons, military services and forces, deployments abroad, global arms orders… Introd, trends by region and country…  … Western defense spending: … 

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15 febrero, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
0 Comentarios

Munich Security Conference 2019


Looking at the current state of international affairs it is difficult to escape the feeling that the world is not just witnessing a series of smaller and bigger crises. Rather, the entire liberal international order appears to be falling apart – nothing will we be as it once was. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the global security landscape has never been more dangerous. We are experiencing an epochal shift, as one era is coming to an end, and for now only rough outlines of a new geopolitical age are visible. Although some states are committed to maintaining the liberal international order, it is questionable whether they – often distracted by other domestic and foreign policy challenges – are able to assume this role. Continuar leyendo →