Posted on 19 Sep 2023
Two months after July’s snap and inconclusive general election, there are no signs of a new government. The Popular Party (PP), which won the most seats in parliament (137 out of 350), will have the first stab on 27 September when an absolute majority is required at the first investiture vote and a simple majority at the second on the 29th. The support of the hard-right VOX (33 MPs) and two small parties gives the PP 172 votes, which is not enough to get it over the line (176) unless it has other backing or, in the second vote, abstentions, both of which are highly unlikely, barring last minute surprises (see Figure 1).
Figure 1. Results of general elections, July 2023 and November 2019 (seats, millions of votes and % of total votes)
|July 2023||November 2019|
|Catalan Republican Left||7||0.4||1.9||13||0.9||3.6|
|Together for Catalonia||7||0.4||1.6||8||0.5||2.2|
|Basque Nationalist Party||5||0.3||1.1||6||0.4||1.6|
|Voter turnout (%)||70.4||66.2|