19 junio, 2023
por Felipe Sahagún
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UK Ministry of Defence (17 February 2023) Have you ever wondered why Defence Intelligence uses terms like “unlikely” or “realistic possibility” when we assess Russia’s war in Ukraine? Defence Intelligence tweeted President Putin’s invasion plan the week before Russian forces … Continuar leyendo
1 octubre, 2022
por Felipe Sahagún
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LINK Interviewed by Pies Morgan on Putin, the West and Ukraine in Sky news
28 febrero, 2021
por Felipe Sahagún
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When faced with uncertainty, how should leaders react? Should they make a big bet, hedge their position, or just wait and see? We naturally tend to see situations in one of two ways: either events are certain and can therefore … Continuar leyendo
1 septiembre, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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THE NEW YORK TIME By Ben Casselman July 28, 2019 The stock market is in turmoil, the trade war is dragging on and the global economy is slowing. Plus, it’s been 10 years since the Great Recession ended, making this officially the longest expansion … Continuar leyendo
18 agosto, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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The nature and magnitude of geopolitical risk is changing more rapidly than the ability to anticipate it, with increasingly severe economic consequences. piie.com 10:30 AM – Aug 18, 2019 Felipe Sahagún@sahagunfelipe –Keeping Up with the Future: Upgrading #Forecasts … Continuar leyendo
17 agosto, 2019
por Felipe Sahagún
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COMING TO TERMS WITH ANTICIPATORY INTELLIGENCE JOSH KERBEL (Aug 13, 2019) If the U.S. intelligence community has one unifying cultural principle, it is “mission first.” But for all the benefits that principle confers, it also comes with some potentially significant … Continuar leyendo