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The agreement with Iran

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How to judge the Iran nuclear agreement – four key criteria: 

“The Real Iran Deal – Analysis” plus 24 more : Eurasia Review

Nuclear Deal: West And Israel Real Winners, Iran Markedly Duped, Arabs To Pay Heavier Price – OpEd

Iran Nuclear Deal Will Make World A Much More Dangerous Place – OpEd

Rohani Says Iran Achieved All Targets In Nuclear Talks

PACKAGE DEAL?: Don’t expect the Iran deal to lead to a Syria deal. FP contributor Hassan Hassan writes that the Saudis are muscling up with Turkey and Qatar to counter Iran’s influence: Read more

BYE FALAFEL, HELLO MCDONALD’S: Iran might be tough on freedom of speech, but that hasn’t stopped nuclear deal jokes from going viral on the country’s most popular messaging apps. FP compiled a list of some of the best to come out of yesterday’s deal announcement: Read more

THE SAUDI COLD WAR: While the Obama administration may hope the nuclear deal paves the way for a more peaceful Middle East, it just may convince Riyadh to turn its conflict with Tehran up a notch, writes FP contributor Kim Ghattas: Read more

STEINMEIER ON IRAN DEAL: Germany’s Foreign Minister says Iran deal is watertight and without loopholes. Read more

Obama says only alternative to a nuclear deal with Iran is war. The president sells the deal at home and offers some blunt criticism of America’s Sunni Arab allies.  Read full article »

Obama’s defense of the Iran deal comes with a tough love message

Josh Fattal was imprisoned in Iran for two years. He backs the nuclear deal

Whip count: Where the Senate stands on the Iran deal

Winners and losers in the Iran deal, if it sticks

Here’s what Congress can (and can’t) do about the Iran deal — and why

Tras trece años de tensiones y negociaciones, ayer Irán y el P5+1 (los cinco miembros permanentes del Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU más Alemania) llegaron finalmente a un acuerdo respecto al programa nuclear iraní.

La firma implica la retirada progresiva de las sanciones económicas conforme se verfique el cumplimiento de las cláusulas, que se hará a través de un régimen intensivo de inspecciones. El acuerdo, que ha sido recibido con tan duras como esperadas críticas por parte de Israel y Arabia Saudí, impedirá que Irán pueda fabricar armas nucleares en los próximos diez años. Read more

U.S.-Iran diplomatic forecast: more contacts, but breakthroughs unlikely  (

Obama: Iran deal is only alternative to more Mideast war

White House works to convince Democrats to back Iran deal

Iran nuclear deal should be scrutinized carefully: Khamenei

Iran deal ‘naked as emperor with no clothes’, says Israel

Read more

Un mundo más seguro, un Irán menos aislado  FELIPE SAHAGÚN

El impacto del acuerdo con Irán en la región. AHMED RASHID Lahore (Pakistán)

‘Habrá cambios, pero tardarán en llegar’ ZAHIDA MEMBRADO Especial para EL MUNDOTeherán

Las preguntas y respuestas del acuerdo nuclear PABLO PARDO CorresponsalWashington

FPI Resources on the Iran Nuclear Deal

On Tuesday morning, the P5+1 and Iran unveiled the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), a final agreement regarding Iran’s illicit nuclear program. Speaking at the White House, President Barack Obama claimed, “Every pathway to a nuclear weapon is cut off.  And the inspection and transparency regime necessary to verify that objective will be put in place.” However, after careful review of the deal’s provisions, observers have begun to raise serious questions about both the limits placed on international inspections and the lack of credible enforcement mechanisms.The Foreign Policy Initiative (FPI) is carefully examining the JCPOA, yet shares the concern that the deal does not diminish the nuclear threat from Iran.  FPI commends the following resources to lawmakers, journalists, and the general public in advance of the Congressional review concurrent to the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act of 2015.

FPI Bulletin: On Iran, “No Deal Is Better Than A Bad Deal” – FPI Policy Director David Adesnik – Foreign Policy Initiative – July 14, 2015

“Neither Congress nor the American public should let the President summon their worst fears in order to dampen opposition to this deal. The deal should be debated on the merits, full stop.”

A Very Good Deal—for Iran – FPI Board Member William Kristol – The Weekly Standard Blog – July 14, 2015

“It’s obviously a very good deal for the Iranian regime. It’s a very bad deal for America. So Congress should rise to the occasion. Congress should engage in a full and comprehensive debate; Congress should then pass a resolution of disapproval; Congress should then override President Obama’s veto, and return America’s Iran policy to dealing from a position of strength rather than supplication.”

Additional Resources

Tehran’s Nuclear Triumph – Editorial – Wall Street Journal – July 14, 2015

“All of this means that the deal leaves Tehran as a nuclear-threshold state even if it adheres to the terms, able to continue its nuclear research and retain its facilities while it waits for U.N. supervision to end. The other nations of the region will take that point, no matter Mr. Obama’s assurances. Instead of eliminating a revolutionary regime’s nuclear ambitions, the Vienna accord promises to usher in a new age of nuclear proliferation.”

Obama’s Iran Deal is a Reckless Bet – Michael Gerson – Washington Post – July 14, 2015

“So the Iran deal is really a high-stakes, strategic bet. The agreement allows a decade of managed and monitored nuclear proliferation while Iran is engaged, first on security, but eventually across the range of the relationship. Under the terms of the agreement, Iran will emerge from this period as a nuclear threshold state, free from most sanctions, but hopefully, by that point, a ‘key to peace.’” 

Iran Deal: Section-by-Section Analysis – Blaise Misztal – Bipartisan Policy Center – July 14, 2015

What’s Really Wrong with the Iran Nuclear Deal – Robert Satloff – New York Daily News – July 14, 2015

“What are the consequences for Iranian violations? According to my read of the agreement, there is only one penalty for any infraction, big or small – taking Iran to the UN Security Council for the ‘snapback’ of international sanctions. That is like saying that for any crime – whether a misdemeanor or a felony – the punishment is the death penalty. In the real world, that means there will be no punishments for anything less than a capital crime.»

Why They’re Cheering in Tehran – Frederick Kagan – Wall Street Journal – July 14, 2015

“The main achievement of the regime’s negotiators is striking a deal that commits the West to removing almost all sanctions on Iran, including most of those imposed to reduce terrorism or to prevent weapons proliferation. Most of the sanctions are likely to end in a few months. Thus the agreement ensures that after a short delay Iran will be able to lay the groundwork for a large nuclear arsenal and, in the interim, expand its conventional military capabilities as much as the regime pleases.»

Iran Deal Misses the Point – Danielle Pletka – CNN – July 14, 2015

“[T]here is much to suggest that Iran’s leadership has a longer-term strategic plan that envisions no immediate breakout. After all, a country that is in a race to build and test a nuke doesn’t need to invest in multiple facilities and double down on advanced enrichment. Both Iranian procurement and International Atomic Energy Agency reporting indicate Iran is game to wait until it has both the means and the materiel to break out — like Pakistan, Israel or India — with an arsenal of nuclear weapons, rather than a single bomb. And if that is the case, the deal inked early Tuesday will not stop it.”

Mr. Obama’s Complex and Costly Deal with Iran – Editorial – Washington Post – July 14, 2015

“If the transformation of Iranian behavior the president hopes for does not occur, the deal on its nuclear program may ultimately prove to be a poor one — a temporary curb that, when it lapses, will enable a dangerous threshold nuclear state that poses a major threat to the United States and its allies.”

Iran Deal Leaves U.S. with Tough Questions – Dennis Ross – Washington Post – July 14, 2015

“[B]ecause the Iranians are not required to dismantle their enrichment infrastructure, are allowed to continue at least limited research and development on their five advanced models of centrifuges and will be permitted to build as large an industrial nuclear program as they want after year 15, the deal, at that point, will legitimize the Islamic republic as a threshold nuclear state. The gap between threshold status and weapons capability will necessarily become small, and not difficult for the Iranians to bridge.”

Iran Got a Far Better Deal Than It Had Any Right to Expect – Elliott Abrams – National Review Online – July 15, 2014

«Iran has been arguing for years that it has the right to enrich uranium under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The United States has always said ‘no way’ — until now. The George W. Bush administration insisted that before our allies Jordan and the UAE could sign a civil nuclear-cooperation agreement with us, they had to agree they would not enrich uranium — not spin one centrifuge. Now we allow Iran 6,000 centrifuges, and indeed the JCPOA legitimizes Iran as a nuclear state. Decades of American nonproliferation policy are dead.»

The Iran Nuclear Agreement: Tehran “Achieved All It Wanted” – Dov Zakheim – The National Interest – July 14, 2015

“It did not have to be this way. The P5+1 could have continued to negotiate, while retaining the interim agreement signed in November 2013. Tehran would have had to face ongoing sanctions, which, even if China and Russia evaded them, would have continued to stress the Iranian economy. The West could have held out for a better deal, for the choice was never between war and peace, as the president kept asserting, or between a bad deal or no deal, as Israel’s prime minister insisted.”


An ‘Imperfect’ Accord

The new agreement between Iran and world powers does not resolve the problem and complicates U.S. relations with regional allies, says CFR President Richard N. Haass.

Background & Analysis

CFR Media Call: Philip Gordon Iran Nuclear Agreement

Foreign Affairs: Wehrey and Sokolsky Bridging the Gulf in the Gulf

CFR Testimony: Ray Takeyh Evaluating Key Components of a Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action with Iran

 .: It’s the geostrategic implications of the that Europe must deal with.

For , will “ensure the growing financial and political clout of his most reliable ally.” :

Here’s my analysis of verification provisions in . SPOILER ALERT: They are impressive.

What does the mean for Europe? Read Cornelius Adebahr:

Whatever happens with , “Iraq and Syria will be top concerns for all,” writes :

US-Iran nuke deal offers India more space in Greater Middle East & demands a pragmatic regional policy  

Seven realities that made an Iran deal almost inevitable and more nuclear news in today’s Proliferation News

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