Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

Tripwire for real war? Cyber’s fuzzy rules of engagement (AP, Frank Bajak)

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FILE - The sign outside the National Security Administration (NSA) campus where U.S. Cyber Command is located in Fort Meade, Md., June 6, 2013. Tensions are soaring over Ukraine with Western officials warning about the danger of Russia launching major cyberattacks against its NATO allies. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File)

BOSTON (AP) — President Joe Biden couldn’t have been more blunt about the risks of cyberattacks spinning out of control. “If we end up in a war, a real shooting war with a major power, it’s going to be as a consequence of a cyber breach of great consequence,” he told his intelligence brain trust in July.

Now tensions are soaring over Ukraine with Western officials warning about the danger of Russia launching damaging cyberattacks against Ukraine’s NATO allies. While no one is suggesting that could lead to a full-blown war between nuclear-armed rivals, the risk of escalation is serious.

The danger is in the uncertainty about what crosses a digital red line. Cyberattacks, including those that cripple critical infrastructure with ransomware, have been on the rise for years and often go unpunished. It’s unclear how grave a malicious cyber operation by a state actor would have to be to cross the threshold to an act of war.

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Related

In 2015, the major powers and others agreed on a set of 11 voluntary norms

 An update to the 2015 U.N. norm

A new NATO policy

U.S. Cyber Command developed a strategy in 2018

 

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