15 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Démographie et natalité : anatomie d’une chute (IFRI)

Dans ce nouvel épisode du Monde selon l’Ifri, Marc Hecker reçoit le démographe Hervé Le Bras, directeur d’études émérite à l’EHESS, l’une des voix les plus lucides sur les mutations de la population mondiale. Hervé Le Bras vient notamment de publier un article paru dans le dernier numéro de la revue de l’Ifri, Politique étrangère : «La population du monde au XXIᵉ siècle (https://www.ifri.org/fr/sommaires-pre…) «.

Jun 15, 2026 Le Monde selon l’Ifri

14 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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G7 summit in France (Richard Fontaine)

Richard Fontaine@RHFontaine

After the White House fight, President Trump will head to the G7 summit in France. Both the cage match and the multilateral diplomacy could feature fisticuffs:

1. The Iran war will top the agenda, along with the energy shock it has produced. Allies weren’t consulted on the decision to strike, but that’s not totally new. The effect on European and Asian economies of a closed Strait of Hormuz is. Trump has said for months now that a deal is imminent. Now it might actually be.

2. The US will want the G7 to bless the UK and French-led mission to patrol the Strait after the shooting stops. It should. Having allies step up to fill key U.S. capability caps is exactly what the administration should seek. They will help stabilize the situation following a war they saw as unwise.

3. Ukraine will also be high on the agenda. For the first time in almost three years, Russia is losing more territory than it’s gaining. The battlefield momentum is shifting toward Ukraine. When Russians can’t solve a problem, however, they tend to enlarge it. That means escalation.

4. Europe and policymakers there are bracing for it. The U.S. should bolster deterrence. Leave no doubt about U.S. commitment to defend every inch of NATO territory. Impose costs on Russia for gray zone activity in Europe. And it’d be nice to start aiding Ukraine again. Zelensky will be on hand at the summit and ready for any new commitments.

5. Then there is AI. Over the weekend the administration directed Anthropic to withhold its most advanced models from foreigners. Allies, especially in Europe, want both continued access to U.S. frontier models and to develop sovereign alternatives. It’s not clear they can ensure either in the near term. Continued access to U.S. tech is emerging as a major foreign policy fault line.

6. Trump should, but probably won’t, push for a unified approach to China. The U.S. has moved from a competitive strategy toward Beijing to one focused mostly on trade and preserving good leader-to-leader ties. The G7 should be moving in lockstep on China, but isn’t. If each member focuses only on its own bilateral economic imbalances with Beijing, little will be accomplished on the most important issues.

7. Finally there is the prospect of a leaders-level cage match. Blowups have happened before, most famously in the 2018 Canada summit. Trump left that one early, refused to endorse the joint statement, and denounced host Justin Trudeau. Other G7 summits have been tense.

8. There is significant kindling now: Greenland, climate, defense spending, perceived U.S. interference in Euro domestic politics, the announced military withdrawals from Germany, and more. For the seven usually likeminded advanced democracies, success will be judged as much by what is avoided as what is achieved.

G7 Evian France Summit

14 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Agreement to end the Iran war

Fareed Zakaria@FareedZakaria

The agreement to end the Iran war, if signed, would give the US and Iran another 60 days to hammer out deeper issues, most pressingly Iran’s nuclear program. Would a new nuclear deal with Iran be worse than President Obama’s version from 2015? I asked @ksadjadpour and @ianbremmer

LINK TO VIDEO

Tehran Times@TehranTimes79
#BREAKING Tasnim: Deputy Foreign Minister @Gharibabadi: The text of the memorandum of understanding has been finalized and the official signing of the Islamabad memorandum of understanding will take place on Friday in Switzerland.

14 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Conflictos armados 2026 (UAB)

Una imagen de la destrucción causada por los ataques israelíes contra el campo de refugiados de Al-Maghazi, tras la orden de evacuación emitida por el ejército israelí el 12 de junio de 2026 en la ciudad de Gaza, Gaza, Palestina. / Anadolu vía Cadena Ser

Según el informe Alerta 2026! de la Escuela de Cultura de Paz de la UAB, en el último ejercicio se registraron 40 conflictos armados frente a los 37 identificados en 2024. Atendiendo a esta clasificación de la Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, que comenzó en 2007, solo se habría alcanzado este nivel de conflictos en 2011. Además, el 50% de estos fueron de alta intensidad, siendo África la región con más casos (17), seguida de Asia-Pacífico (12), Oriente Medio (7), Europa (2) y América (2).

María Villellas, codirectora de la Escuela, señala que el aumento de los conflictos se debe a un «debilitamiento del multilateralismo y las herramientas de construcción de paz», aunque sería necesario abordar cada caso en su contexto. «Es un momento de máxima tensión geopolítica a nivel internacional, que se une a unos liderazgos internacionales que están apostando por el uso de la fuerza en lugar de priorizar las herramientas diplomáticas. Existe una consolidación del autoritarismo a nivel internacional», apunta la experta. Continue leyendo →

11 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Wil Davies, finalista de los premios Rory Peck 2025

Crisis en Sudán: La lucha por la supervivencia, Unreported World

Encargado por: Channel 4

Krishnan Guru-Murthy gains rare access to one region to find over a million people on the brink of starvation. The war between the Sudanese government and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has forced 11.3 million people to flee their homes. Over half the population, around 30 million people, need humanitarian assistance. Famine is declared in parts of the country, including areas of the Nuba Mountains in South Kordofan.

This semi-autonomous area has become a refuge to over a million people fleeing bombings, executions, and rape. Guru-Murthy travels deep inside the region and meets Nafisa Abdulrahim, a nurse caring for around 5,000 people. Through her work we witness the scale of the crisis, as hungry children line up to be seen, and old men die alone in tents.

In order to survive, people scavenge what they can, eating leaves, insects, even rats. Survivors tell Guru-Murthy of horrendous ethnic violence, including one woman who claims she saw seven Nuba men killed by RSF soldiers, adding to the catalogue of war crimes being alleged, including sexual violence. Filmed, produced and directed by Wil Davies Series Producer: Andy Lee Executive Producer: Ed Fraser Production Company: Channel 4 News

10 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Global Peace Index 2026

Discover the world’s most peaceful countries based on the Global Peace Index, with Iceland leading the list followed by Ireland, Austria, and New Zealand. This ranking highlights nations known for safety, stability, and quality of life. Singapore and Malaysia represent Asia in the top 10, while India is ranked 116th, reflecting ongoing challenges and areas for improvement. A quick and clear breakdown of global peace rankings you should know.

LINK TO IEP REPORTS

Most Peaceful Countries 2026