Introducing FP’s Summer 2026 magazine. Continue leyendo →
18 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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18 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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China vs. the G7: Who Runs the Global Economy? | Amanpour
Leaders from the world’s most powerful countries today wrapped up their three-day G7 summit in France. The focus was on resolving wars, like those in Iran and Ukraine — while hovering overhead was the issue of the uninvited, rising superpower: China. For more, Elizabeth Economy, a senior fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, joins us.
June 17, 2026
16 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Trump’s Iran Deal: What Comes Next? (CSIS)
The United States and Iran announced a framework deal that includes a 60-day ceasefire and reopens the Strait of Hormuz. Please join State of Play for a live episode featuring CSIS Middle East Program experts Mona Yacoubian, Michael Ratney, Paul Salem, and Susan Ziadeh at 12:30pm ET on June 15, 2026. They will assess the winners and losers of the deal, what challenges lie ahead, and what it means for the emerging order in the Middle East.
Related
In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer says the US and Iran’s memorandum of understanding to end the fighting and reopen the Strait of Hormuz marks progress, but warns it falls far short of resolving the broader conflict.
President Trump met with UAE Sheikh Mohamed Bin Zayed Al Nahyan on Tuesday.
Trump Does Not Understand the War He Lost (The Atlantic)
The Doha Connection (The Atlantic)
A Ceasefire, for Real? (Fareed’s Global Breefing)
The Art of the Non-Deal (Persuasion)
Experts React: The US and Iran Reach an Agreement (Middle East Institute)
The U.S.-Iran Ceasefire: What Happens Now? | With Gregory Brew (Global Dispatches)
15 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Démographie et natalité : anatomie d’une chute (IFRI)
Dans ce nouvel épisode du Monde selon l’Ifri, Marc Hecker reçoit le démographe Hervé Le Bras, directeur d’études émérite à l’EHESS, l’une des voix les plus lucides sur les mutations de la population mondiale. Hervé Le Bras vient notamment de publier un article paru dans le dernier numéro de la revue de l’Ifri, Politique étrangère : «La population du monde au XXIᵉ siècle (https://www.ifri.org/fr/sommaires-pre…) «.
Jun 15, 2026 Le Monde selon l’Ifri
14 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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G7 summit in France (Richard Fontaine)
Richard Fontaine@RHFontaine
After the White House fight, President Trump will head to the G7 summit in France. Both the cage match and the multilateral diplomacy could feature fisticuffs:
1. The Iran war will top the agenda, along with the energy shock it has produced. Allies weren’t consulted on the decision to strike, but that’s not totally new. The effect on European and Asian economies of a closed Strait of Hormuz is. Trump has said for months now that a deal is imminent. Now it might actually be.
2. The US will want the G7 to bless the UK and French-led mission to patrol the Strait after the shooting stops. It should. Having allies step up to fill key U.S. capability caps is exactly what the administration should seek. They will help stabilize the situation following a war they saw as unwise.
3. Ukraine will also be high on the agenda. For the first time in almost three years, Russia is losing more territory than it’s gaining. The battlefield momentum is shifting toward Ukraine. When Russians can’t solve a problem, however, they tend to enlarge it. That means escalation.
4. Europe and policymakers there are bracing for it. The U.S. should bolster deterrence. Leave no doubt about U.S. commitment to defend every inch of NATO territory. Impose costs on Russia for gray zone activity in Europe. And it’d be nice to start aiding Ukraine again. Zelensky will be on hand at the summit and ready for any new commitments.
5. Then there is AI. Over the weekend the administration directed Anthropic to withhold its most advanced models from foreigners. Allies, especially in Europe, want both continued access to U.S. frontier models and to develop sovereign alternatives. It’s not clear they can ensure either in the near term. Continued access to U.S. tech is emerging as a major foreign policy fault line.
6. Trump should, but probably won’t, push for a unified approach to China. The U.S. has moved from a competitive strategy toward Beijing to one focused mostly on trade and preserving good leader-to-leader ties. The G7 should be moving in lockstep on China, but isn’t. If each member focuses only on its own bilateral economic imbalances with Beijing, little will be accomplished on the most important issues.
7. Finally there is the prospect of a leaders-level cage match. Blowups have happened before, most famously in the 2018 Canada summit. Trump left that one early, refused to endorse the joint statement, and denounced host Justin Trudeau. Other G7 summits have been tense.
8. There is significant kindling now: Greenland, climate, defense spending, perceived U.S. interference in Euro domestic politics, the announced military withdrawals from Germany, and more. For the seven usually likeminded advanced democracies, success will be judged as much by what is avoided as what is achieved.
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14 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Agreement to end the Iran war
Fareed Zakaria@FareedZakaria
The agreement to end the Iran war, if signed, would give the US and Iran another 60 days to hammer out deeper issues, most pressingly Iran’s nuclear program. Would a new nuclear deal with Iran be worse than President Obama’s version from 2015? I asked @ksadjadpour and @ianbremmer
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Tehran Times@TehranTimes79#BREAKING Tasnim: Deputy Foreign Minister @Gharibabadi: The text of the memorandum of understanding has been finalized and the official signing of the Islamabad memorandum of understanding will take place on Friday in Switzerland.