Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

9 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Ukraine’s puzzle afyer 50 months of war

By Michael Froman
President, Council on Foreign Relations

This week, the U.S. House of Representatives acted contrary to the wishes of its leadership and President Donald Trump to pass legislation providing support for Ukraine. 

And yesterday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy published an open letter to Russian President Vladimir Putin calling for a meeting between the two leaders and a full ceasefire during subsequent peace negotiations. 

“We see that the United States is fully focused on the issue of Iran, and it would be wrong to simply wait until the war in Europe returns to the center of its attention. Ukraine proposes ending this war through direct engagement between us—and you.”

Zelenskyy’s letter and the new aid bill come at an inflection point in the war, not because Ukraine and Russia have stopped striking one another but because for the first time, as the Royal United Services Institute’s Jack Watling writes in the pages of Foreign Affairs, a ceasefire is “now a realistic possibility.” 

On the ground, the front line—which spans nearly eight hundred miles—is largely frozen. But frozen lines do not necessarily make for a frozen conflict

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8 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Has the U.S. “Already Lost” the War in Iran? Robert Kagan

Hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the war in Iran have stalled after tensions in the Gulf flared once again early Wednesday morning. Iranian strikes on Kuwait caused widespread damage, and an attack that hit Kuwait’s airport killed one person and wounded more than 60. Meanwhile the U.S. military carried out its own strikes near the Strait of Hormuz. In a new piece for The Atlantic, foreign policy scholar Robert Kagan argues that Iran’s leverage in the Strait leaves the U.S. with few options. Kagan joins Walter Isaacson in Amanpour (CNN) to explain why. June 4, 2026

 

8 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Nuclear weapons make a comeback (SIPRI)

SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

(Stockholm, 8 June 2026) The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) today launches its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security. Key findings of SIPRI Yearbook 2026 are that states are increasingly relying on nuclear weapons as instruments of national power—reversing decades of efforts to reduce the numbers and role of nuclear weapons—even as the risks of miscalculation and escalation are rising.

Read this press release in Catalan, French, Spanish or Swedish.

Click here to download the summary of SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

Click here to download the introduction of SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

Download a sample chapter on world nuclear forces; artificial intelligence and international peace and security; or space security governance. 

World’s nuclear arsenals expanded and upgraded

The nine nuclear-armed states—the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea) and Israel—continued programmes to modernize and enhance their nuclear arsenals in 2025, and most deployed new nuclear-armed or nuclear-capable weapon systems during the year.

Of the total global inventory of an estimated 12 187 warheads in January 2026, about 9745 were in military stockpiles for potential use (see the table below). An estimated 4012 of those warheads were deployed with missiles and aircraft and the rest were in central storage. Between 2100 and 2200 of the deployed warheads were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles. Nearly all of these warheads belonged to Russia or the USA, and to a lesser extent France and the UK, but China and India may now occasionally deploy a small number of warheads mounted on missiles during peacetime. 

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Related

SIPRI: With peace elusive, nuclear weapons make a comeback

 

8 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Rusia in Ukraine and the US role (Anders Aslund)

Imagen

I am so tired of all misunderstandings of Russia’s war against Ukraine & the US role:

  1. Russia is pursuing a major colonial war.
  2. No colonial power has won such a war after World War II.
  3. Nations are born out of war & this war has cemented the Ukrainian nation.
  4. For Ukraine, this war is existential. In Russia, it is only existential for Putin.
  5. Therefore Ukraine cannot give up & Putin will lose (though we cannot know when or exactly how).
  6. This war has united Europe & given it a new purpose. The old purpose of the EU was to keep peace internally. The new purpose is to stand up to Russia.
  7. Trump has taken the US out of the war & the US is not likely to come back. Trump is Putin’s obedient servant (though fortunately dumb & incompetent).
  8. Europe needs to take over NATO since the US is abandoning it.
  9. The new forms of warfare & the current US incompetence are likely to render the US military & arms obsolete very fast.
  10. The EU needs to embrace Ukraine & Moldova & Western Balkans & invite the UK, Norway & Iceland.