The Economist

The Economist’s foerecast of the midterms’ outcast. The auguries are good for Democrats

Democrats are rediscovering what an appealing politics of progress looks like

The midterms could reshape American politics far beyond Congress

America’s decisive voters are its most recent arrivals

Checks and Balance newsletter: If American voters lived under one roof

Our prediction model

The 2026 midterms land against a backdrop the Council’s public opinion surveys have been tracking for months, offering a data-driven view of where American sentiment on foreign policy actually stands as the war in Iran, the unsettled Israel-Palestinian conflict, and growing tensions with Western allies reshape the global perception of the United States.

Join Dan Drezner, Bruce Jentleson, Leslie Vinjamuri, and Ariane Tabatabai at 12 p.m. CST on Wednesday, November 4, as they assess what the midterm results mean and what happens next.

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In anticipation of the midterm elections next week, in partnership with FGS Global, the Atlantic Council convened Reading the signals: The geopolitical implications of a new Congress. Experts covered everything from energy to trade to tariffs.

CFR (October 29, 2026 5:53 p.m.)

Election Day is less than a week away, and the stakes are enormous. For two years, Republicans have controlled both the White House and Congress. Democrats have been on the outside looking in as policy is decided. But now control of Congress is up for grabs. Democrats need to pick up three seats in the House or four in the Senate to return Washington to divided government.

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CFR (Oct 27, 2026)

Ten Poll Numbers That Explain the 2026 Midterm Elections

CFR (Oct 27, 2026)

How Do Americans View Foreign Policy Ahead of the Midterms?