Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

9 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Tunku Varadarajan: India and the Fate of Western Civilization (Podcast)

 
In this episode of The Larry Arnn Show, Hillsdale College President Larry P. Arnn interviews Tunku Varadarajan, writer and contributor at The Wall Street Journal. The two discuss the consequences of immigration, the history of India, and the future of the West.
 

9 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Impact of two decades of USAID interventions and effects of defunding on mortality up to 2030 (Lancet)

Imagen

Summary

Background

The US Agency for International Development (USAID) is the largest funding agency for humanitarian and development aid worldwide. The aim of this study is to comprehensively evaluate the effect of all USAID funding on adult and child mortality over the past two decades and forecast the future effect of its defunding.

Methods

In this retrospective impact evaluation integrated with forecasting analysis, we used panel data from 133 countries and territories— including all low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs)—with USAID support ranging from none to very high. First, we used fixed-effects multivariable Poisson models with robust SEs adjusted for demographic, socioeconomic, and health-care factors to estimate the impact of USAID funding on all-age and all-cause mortality from 2001 to 2021. Second, we evaluated its effects by age-specific, sex-specific, and cause-specific groups. Third, we did several sensitivity and triangulation analyses. Lastly, we integrated the retrospective evaluation with validated dynamic microsimulation models to estimate effects up to 2030.
 

Findings

Higher levels of USAID funding—primarily directed toward LMICs, particularly African countries—were associated with a 15% reduction in age-standardised all-cause mortality (risk ratio [RR] 0·85, 95% CI 0·78–0·93) and a 32% reduction in under-five mortality (RR 0·68, 0·57–0·80). This finding indicates that 91 839 663 (95% CI 85 690 135–98 291 626) all-age deaths, including 30 391 980 (26 023 132–35 482 636) in children younger than 5 years, were prevented by USAID funding over the 21-year study period. USAID funding was associated with a 65% reduction (RR 0·35, 0·29-0·42) in mortality from HIV/AIDS (representing 25·5 million deaths), 51% (RR 0·49, 0·39–0·61) from malaria (8·0 million deaths), and 50% (RR 0·50, 0·40–0·62) from neglected tropical diseases (8·9 million deaths). Significant decreases were also observed in mortality from tuberculosis, nutritional deficiencies, diarrhoeal diseases, lower respiratory infections, and maternal and perinatal conditions. Forecasting models predicted that the current steep funding cuts could result in more than 14 051 750 (uncertainty interval 8 475 990–19 662 191) additional all-age deaths, including 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) in children younger than age 5 years, by 2030.

a ∙ a ∙ a ∙ b,c ∙ b,c ∙ b,c ∙ b,c ∙ b,c ∙ e ∙ f ∙ b ∙ b,c,d,f,g,h,i ∙ b,c ∙ j ∙ 

…MORE

 

7 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

The best defense against a 3rd world war (Guardian)

Imagen

Sun 6 Jul 2025 07.00 CEST

The United Nations and its agencies have long struggled with funding shortfalls. Now an entrenched problem is becoming an acute crisis in the shadow of Donald Trump’s executioner’s axe. The US is the biggest contributor, at 22%, to the UN’s core budget. In February, the White House announced a six-month review of US membership of all international organisations, conventions and treaties, including the UN, with a view to reducing or ending funding – and possible withdrawal. The deadline for decapitation falls next month.

Trump’s abolition of the US Agency for International Development (USAID), and scrapping of most aid programmes, has already badly damaged UN-led and UN-backed humanitarian operations, which rely on discretionary funding. Yet Trump’s axe symbolises a more fundamental threat – to multilateralism and the much-battered international rules-based order. The basic concept of collective responsibility for maintaining global peace and security, and collaboration in tackling shared problems – embodied by the UN since its creation 80 years ago last week – is on the chopping block.

…MORE

 

7 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Past, present and future of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) -Carnegie

 

The Life of the Party: Past and Present Constraints on the Future of the Chinese Communist Party

The Life of the Party: Past and Present Constraints on the Future of the Chinese Communist Party

This compendium examines persistent patterns and new developments in Chinese politics since the party’s founding in July 1921.

by Yvonne Chiu, Isaac B. Kardon,andJason M. Kelly (Published on June 9, 2025)

Preface and Introduction

Preface

Isaac Kardon

The Asia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace studies disruptive security, governance, and technological risks that threaten peace, growth, and opportunity in the Asia-Pacific region, with an enduring focus on China. This compendium of essays on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) by some of the world’s leading China scholars advances Carnegie’s long-standing commitment to rigorous, insightful, and policy-relevant research at a moment when a sober and strategic approach to China has never been more essential—or more difficult to define and achieve.

In Xi Jinping’s “new era,” students of Chinese politics face diminishing access to reliable sources. They must contend with biased or absent data, dwindling access to Chinese scholars and officials (and lack of candor when access is possible), and closed doors to archives, conferences, and meetings that, at least for a brief period of relative liberalization, were previously open. The avenues for substantive interactions between Chinese and American scholars that were being institutionalized in universities and think tanks during that “old era” have narrowed dramatically, due to restrictions on both sides.

…MORE

 
 

7 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

20 years after 7/7, are we safer? (BBC)

PA Media Grainy black and white image showing Shehzad Tanweer and Mohammed Sidique Khan

v @BBC

Dominic Casciani

Home and Legal Correspondent•@BBCDomC

There are extraordinary secret surveillance images – now largely forgotten – that in their own grainy and mysterious way, tell the story of missed opportunities that maybe, just maybe, could have stopped the horrific suicide attacks that took place in London 20 years ago.

They are images of the ringleader of the 7/7 bombings – first caught on camera at an al-Qaeda-associated training camp in the Lake District in 2001.

Two more images from 2004 show him – name and intentions then unknown – meeting a different cell of bomb plotters outside London and being followed by an MI5 team as he made his way back to Leeds.

…MORE

Related

Escadron de soldats armés entièrement équipés qui courent et attaquent pendant les opérations militaires dans le désert.

2001-2025 : guerre globale contre le djihadisme

02 juillet 2025

Malgré des moyens considérables dédiés à la guerre globale contre le terrorisme, la menace djihadiste n’a pas disparu.

 
 
 

6 julio, 2025
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

How could climate change affect my health? (BBC)

The Climate Question, The Climate Question, How could climate change affect my health?

Climate change is having major health impacts around the world – which are only expected to increase as our planet gets warmer. These impacts range from heat stroke to the spread of tropical diseases, from hospitals losing power during extreme weather to the effect on our mental health. In this week’s show, Graihagh Jackson talks to two doctors from Malaysia and Egypt about the challenges the medical sector faces, as well as possible solutions and how healthcare must also address its own emissions problem.

Guests:

Dr Jemilah Mahmoud, Executive Director, Sunway Centre for Planetary Health, Malaysia.

Dr Omnia El Omrani, Vice-Chair of the Global Climate and Health Alliance,

Presenter: Graihagh Jackson

LINK TO AUDIO