Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

14 enero, 2024
por Felipe Sahagún
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Global foresight 2034 (Atlantic Council)

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By Mary Kate Aylward, Peter Engelke, Uri Friedman, and Paul Kielstra

Picture a world with competing power centers, an unstable Russia stumbling into its post-Putin era, a nuclear-armed Iran emerging in the midst of an unruly nuclear age, and a United Nations incapable of carrying out its core functions—including convening the world’s countries to tackle problems, such as climate change, that no one state can solve and that pose a grave threat to global security and prosperity.

That’s just a glimpse into the future that leading global strategists and foresight practitioners forecast when the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security surveyed them in November on how they expect the world to change over the next ten years.

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11 enero, 2024
por Felipe Sahagún
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INDO-PACIFIC FORECAST 2024 (CSIS)

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To what extent will de-risking shape regional economic dynamics? What will be the greatest military flashpoint in the region next year? Which 2024 election will have the greatest impact on international relations in the Indo-Pacific? Join CSIS experts to explore these and other questions during our annual preview of economic, political, and security developments across the region.

Tuesday, January 16, 2024

8:45 AM -12:00 PM ET

11 enero, 2024
por Felipe Sahagún
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The risk of a wider war in the Middle East (F Zakaria)

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January 11, 2024

An Assassination and the Risk of Wider War

Will the Gaza war spill across the Middle East, as analysts have feared since it began? Signs are worrisome.
 
Recent weeks have brought troubling developments, as the Global Briefing has noted. In late December, an Israeli airstrike killed a high-ranking Iranian general in Damascus. An ISIS-claimed bombing in Iran will likely set the Middle East’s wildcard military power on edge. A US-led coalition is facing off with Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthi militants in the Red Sea, where global shipping has been disrupted. Iran has deployed a warship. This week, Israel killed a top Hezbollah commander in southern Lebanon. Continue leyendo →

11 enero, 2024
por Felipe Sahagún
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Global Foresight 2024: What will the next decade bring?

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Please join the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security for a discussion moderated by Felicia Schwartz of the Financial Times on Thursday, January 18, 2024, at 12:30 p.m. ET, on what more than 250 experts see as the factors, trends, and uncertainties that will shape the decade to come.

From war in Europe to the Middle East, the world faces a variety of challenges including a rise in authoritarianism, a changing climate, and how to grapple with a variety of emerging technologies.

In an effort to better understand how the world may change, this fall, the Scowcroft Center conducted its second annual survey of geostrategists and foresight experts from across the globe to gain insight on the biggest drivers of change over the next ten years.

Alongside this year’s survey, Global Foresight 2024 also includes the top risks and opportunities of the coming year and an assessment of «snow leopards,» or known but underappreciated phenomena, that could have an outsized impact on the future.

Join us on January 18 for a discussion with Jasmina Byrne, Chief of Foresight and Policy, UNICEF; Uri Friedman, Senior Editorial Director, Atlantic Council; and Ria Strasser-Galvis, Head of Foreign Policy Partnerships, Google, which will be opened by Jenna Ben-Yehuda, Executive Vice President, Atlantic Council, and moderated by Felicia Schwartz, US Foreign Affairs and Defense Correspondent, Financial Times.

The event will take place in-person at the Atlantic Council headquarters and will be livestreamed on Atlantic Council social media and via Zoom