Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

23 diciembre, 2018
por Felipe Sahagún
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2019 Forecast Preview and the Next 100 years (Geopolitical Futures Podcast)

 

2018 is coming to an end, so there’s no better time to think about the future. Every year, GPF produces an Annual Forecast that lays out the trends that will shape the international system, and 2019 is no different. The report, which publishes next week, will showcase predictions on the global economy, power politics in unlikely places, European disunion, developments in the Middle East and much more. In this week’s podcast, hosts Jacob and Cole will give you a sneak peek of what’s to come.

The Next 100 Years: A forecast for the 21st century. George Friedman

22 diciembre, 2018
por Felipe Sahagún
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The war-torn web

Foreign Policy

BY SEAN MCDONALD AND AN XIAO MINA
ILLUSTRATIONS BY DOUG CHAYKA AND JASON LI FOR FOREIGN POLICY DECEMBER 19, 2018

The global internet continues to fragment. Governments, in particular, are using their influence to shape the ways that digital companies, markets, and rights connect us online. This new form of realpolitik, which we call “digitalpolitik,” is an emerging tactical playbook for how governments use their political, regulatory, military, and commercial powers to project influence in global, digital markets. Continue leyendo →

22 diciembre, 2018
por Felipe Sahagún
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After Franco: the painful evolution of Spanish democracy

THE TIMES LITERARY SUPPLEMENT

It was not bliss: more like muted relief. Nor was “that dawn” of the blood-red kind Wordsworth remembered. Between 1975 and 1978 democracy returned to Spain with a slow, tentative gathering of light and noise – like the plaintive strumming that Lorca associated with morning. There were spatterings of blood from the bombs and gunshots of ETA terrorists, but the revolutionaries who devised the new era were cautious, eirenic politicians, for whom the best colour for dawn was grey, not gory.

Thanks to the dismantling of Western Europe’s last dictatorships, the mid-70s of the last century seem, in retrospect, to have launched the world-wide triumph of democracy and capitalism that deluded some people, for a while, into thinking that “history” had “ended”. Spain’s case appeared exemplary: unblemished by the violence that afflicted Portugal or the divisions and disasters that impeded Greece. In 1978, a new constitution was unveiled. It looked perfect, balancing republican institutions with a hereditary head of state, popular power with the rule of law, majority dominance with minority safeguards, and – what was crucially important in a state that was an “unamalgamating bundle”, periodically riven by regional conflicts – power at the centre with ample, equitable devolution.

I was one of the guilty men who welcomed the new set-up with delirious praise, commending it as a blueprint for ever closer European union. Now the consequences seem dire: a sclerotic government, national and provincial legislatures immobilized by an intractable electoral system, rage at the unfair regional distribution of state costs, obdurate and unreasoning secessionism at the periphery, impotence at the centre. The constitution’s fortieth birthday, which should have been celebratory, is going to be glum. There seems no acceptable way of cutting the birthday cake. What went wrong?

…MORE

21 diciembre, 2018
por Felipe Sahagún
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The human cost of 2018’s climate disasters

Climate disaster images

The Guardian

The UN’s recent alert that the world has at most 12 years to prevent climate catastrophe was a landmark moment. Never before has the threat of irreversible damage been so close. Continue leyendo →