Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

8 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Nuclear weapons make a comeback (SIPRI)

SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

(Stockholm, 8 June 2026) The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) today launches its annual assessment of the state of armaments, disarmament and international security. Key findings of SIPRI Yearbook 2026 are that states are increasingly relying on nuclear weapons as instruments of national power—reversing decades of efforts to reduce the numbers and role of nuclear weapons—even as the risks of miscalculation and escalation are rising.

Read this press release in CatalanFrenchSpanish or Swedish.

Click here to download the summary of SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

Click here to download the introduction of SIPRI Yearbook 2026.

Download a sample chapter on world nuclear forcesartificial intelligence and international peace and security; or space security governance

World’s nuclear arsenals expanded and upgraded

The nine nuclear-armed states—the United States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, China, India, Pakistan, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea) and Israel—continued programmes to modernize and enhance their nuclear arsenals in 2025, and most deployed new nuclear-armed or nuclear-capable weapon systems during the year.

Of the total global inventory of an estimated 12 187 warheads in January 2026, about 9745 were in military stockpiles for potential use (see the table below). An estimated 4012 of those warheads were deployed with missiles and aircraft and the rest were in central storage. Between 2100 and 2200 of the deployed warheads were kept in a state of high operational alert on ballistic missiles. Nearly all of these warheads belonged to Russia or the USA, and to a lesser extent France and the UK, but China and India may now occasionally deploy a small number of warheads mounted on missiles during peacetime. 

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Related

SIPRI: With peace elusive, nuclear weapons make a comeback

 

8 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Rusia in Ukraine and the US role (Anders Aslund)

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I am so tired of all misunderstandings of Russia’s war against Ukraine & the US role:

  1. Russia is pursuing a major colonial war.
  2. No colonial power has won such a war after World War II.
  3. Nations are born out of war & this war has cemented the Ukrainian nation.
  4. For Ukraine, this war is existential. In Russia, it is only existential for Putin.
  5. Therefore Ukraine cannot give up & Putin will lose (though we cannot know when or exactly how).
  6. This war has united Europe & given it a new purpose. The old purpose of the EU was to keep peace internally. The new purpose is to stand up to Russia.
  7. Trump has taken the US out of the war & the US is not likely to come back. Trump is Putin’s obedient servant (though fortunately dumb & incompetent).
  8. Europe needs to take over NATO since the US is abandoning it.
  9. The new forms of warfare & the current US incompetence are likely to render the US military & arms obsolete very fast.
  10. The EU needs to embrace Ukraine & Moldova & Western Balkans & invite the UK, Norway & Iceland.

5 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Russia and Ukraine: Societies transformed by war (Brookings)

 

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A Raymond Aron Lecture featuring Anna Colin Lebedev with Ambassador John Tefft

On June 5, the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings will host Anna Colin Lebedev for the 21st annual Raymond Aron Lecture. In her remarks, Colin Lebedev will examine how more than 12 years of warand four since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukrainehave changed both countries’ societies and their relationship.  

Following the address, Ambassador John Tefft, the distinguished chair in diplomacy and security at RAND and a career U.S. Foreign Service officer who served as ambassador in both Ukraine and Russia, will join Colin Lebedev for a discussion moderated by Fiona Hill, senior fellow in the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings. Suzanne Maloney, vice president and director of Foreign Policy at Brookings, and Agnès von der Mühll, the French deputy chief of mission to the United States, will provide welcoming remarks. 

LINK TO VIDEO

En YouTube

 

5 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
Sin comentarios

Most Americans say the Iran war is bad for America (Brookings)

June 4, 2026

Fewer than one in six Americans say the U.S. is winning the war

As the Iran war reaches a critical juncture, the Trump administration and Iran appear to prefer extending a precarious truce rather than resolving the issues that divide them. One reason may be the war’s persistent unpopularity. Public opinion polls have consistently shown public opposition to the war the United States and Israel initiated against Iran, making it unique among modern American wars, which often benefit from initial public support or at least a rally-around-the-flag effect.

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4 junio, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Global Justice Report 2026 (Guardian)

Humanity can raise living standards, reduce inequality and keep global heating within a 2C rise, according to a sweeping vision for planetary survival.

The report by the World Inequality Lab (WIL) aims to be the most comprehensive attempt yet to navigate the polycrisis that is pushing the world toward climate breakdown, political extremism and ever greater economic and social tension.

It offers a set of bold policy proposals, including hefty wealth taxes on billionaires, sharp reductions in working hours, a change in diets and a shift of investment from materially intense sectors, such as industry and mining, to education and health.

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Tackling inequality is a central goal. Under the plan, the average per capita gross national income across the world would be €5,000 a month by the end of the century – an increase for almost everyone, with the greatest gains in the global south. The exception would be the mega-rich, who would be highly taxed because they are most responsible for the climate crisis. The share of global wealth held by billionaires, who make up only 0.001% of the world population, would fall from 6% to 0.05%, while the bottom 50% would see their share of wealth increase from 2% to 30%.

The other priority is reducing climate risks by cutting emissions as close to zero as possible. The report takes three mid-century scenarios for decarbonisation outlined by the International Energy Agency and projects them to 2100. Under its most ambitious plan, capital would be redirected from the world’s wealthiest individuals and invested in wind, solar and other renewable technologies to accelerate the complete decarbonisation and electrification of energy supplies by 2050. Further emissions savings would come from a reduction in working hours and the shift in diets and economic activity.