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14 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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13 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Tips for covering opinion polls during the 2026 elections (Shorenstein Center)
| Dear readers, If you’re covering any of the upcoming primaries in the U.S., you know that opinion polling can shed light on the economic, social and political forces that shape everyone’s lives — and decide elections. For journalists looking for up-to-date polls, along with historical polls for context and comparisons, Roper iPoll is a comprehensive opinion data research platform that offers access to nearly a million survey and poll questions from 1935 to today. We recently hosted two webinars featuring Kathleen Weldon, director of data operations at the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research at Cornell University. Eligible small media organizations and independent journalists can apply for a one-year membership to Roper iPoll. Weldon discussed how journalists can use Roper iPoll, and offered several tips for understanding surveys and polls. |
12 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Impacts to maritime shipping from marine chokepoint closures (Lincoln Pratson)
Highlights•
Blockage of any one of seven key marine chokepoints will re-route global shipping.
Numerous countries depend on three other chokepoints for access to shipping.
Closure of key chokepoints will cause regional shipping delays and port backlogs.
∼40% of shipped goods in 2019 had to pass through the South and East China Seas.
Abstract
Global supply chain disruptions caused by the six-day blockage of the Suez Canal in March 2021 and the reduction in shipping through the Bosporus Strait since the onset of the Ukraine War in February 2022 are recent demonstrations of the critical importance of marine chokepoints to international trade and thus global economic security.
To better understand and anticipate effects of a chokepoint closure on global trade, we combine GIS data of international shipping lanes with 2019 bilateral trade data to estimate how the closure of each of eleven chokepoints could change trade flows through other chokepoints and between countries.
Estimates from the closure scenarios reveal alternate-shipping route linkages between seven chokepoints whereby if one were closed for an extended period, trade through one or more of the others would change significantly. The estimates also underscore the economic importance of the Danish Straits, the Bosporus Strait, the Strait of Hormuz, and the South China Sea and East China Sea to those countries that must rely on these chokepoints for access to maritime trade.
Moreover, the estimates project delays and shifts in coastal seaport activity that could lead to knock-on effects that disrupt global supply chains long after a chokepoint blockage is cleared.
11 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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The War in Iran: Teaching Tips and Expert Analysis (CFR Education)
Dear Educator,
The situation in the Middle East continues to evolve. To help your students think critically about the news they see, whether on TV, TikTok, or elsewhere, they need a basic understanding of foreign policy concepts and U.S.-Iran Relations.
In this newsletter, you will find a range of content from the experts at the Council on Foreign Relations that breaks down what has occurred over the past week, the history of U.S.-Iran relations, and what the future of this conflict could hold.
Thank you for doing this important work,
Caroline Netchvolodoff
Vice President, Education
Council on Foreign Relations
Ground Your Students in History and Foundational Foreign Policy Concepts
This week, CFR Education published a blog post to help you ground your students in history and foundational concepts, enabling them to evaluate the developing conflict and form their own opinions about the evolving situation.
10 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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Irán, un país difícil de conquistar
9 marzo, 2026
por Felipe Sahagún
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US-Israel war, day 9
Robert A. Pape@ProfessorPape
Day 9: Iran war is wider and longer:— new, harder line leader in Iran— new leader promises “new phase”— 130+ drones by Iran last 24 hours— US talking “limited” ground forces—desalination hit in Bahrain— oil $102, 4 yr high— Americans disapprove, 59% v 41%— Russian targeting intel to Iran
Related
Anders Åslund@anders_aslund
Trump’s war against Iran is likely to go to history as the most stupid war ever – no clear purpose, changing story lines, reinforcing the main enemy & unable to end it. Don’t we all see that this is stupid, irresponsible & extremely damaging? The US must stop this madman!
Paul Johnson@paul__johnson
So, a war started on a ‘feeling’ without clear strategic aims, setting the Middle East ablaze, leaving thousands dead, crashing stock markets, accelerating oil prices, has resulted in: Ayatollah Khamenei replaced by Ayatollah Khamenei