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Rusia in Ukraine and the US role (Anders Aslund)

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I am so tired of all misunderstandings of Russia’s war against Ukraine & the US role:

  1. Russia is pursuing a major colonial war.
  2. No colonial power has won such a war after World War II.
  3. Nations are born out of war & this war has cemented the Ukrainian nation.
  4. For Ukraine, this war is existential. In Russia, it is only existential for Putin.
  5. Therefore Ukraine cannot give up & Putin will lose (though we cannot know when or exactly how).
  6. This war has united Europe & given it a new purpose. The old purpose of the EU was to keep peace internally. The new purpose is to stand up to Russia.
  7. Trump has taken the US out of the war & the US is not likely to come back. Trump is Putin’s obedient servant (though fortunately dumb & incompetent).
  8. Europe needs to take over NATO since the US is abandoning it.
  9. The new forms of warfare & the current US incompetence are likely to render the US military & arms obsolete very fast.
  10. The EU needs to embrace Ukraine & Moldova & Western Balkans & invite the UK, Norway & Iceland.

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