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Predicting the result of US elections

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Vice President Kamala Harris will win the 2024 presidential election. The tomatoes have spoken.

Over the past 17 straight election cycles, those fragile fruits have divined the fate of the republic. When a very specific measure of their prices falls, the Republican has won, starting with Dwight D. Eisenhower in 1956. When it rises, the Democrat always triumphs, as Joe Biden did in 2020.

This time around, the 12-month average of U.S. urban tomato prices rose 32 months before the election — predicting a clear victory for Harris.

Really! The math is legit. We did it ourselves. But “legit” in this case may not be a synonym for “useful.”

We dug up the tomato streak — along with millions of others like it — to

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