Relaciones Internacionales – Comunicación Internacional

26 mayo, 2016
por Felipe Sahagún
0 Comentarios

How the rich got rich and the poor got poor

This cartoon explains how the rich got rich and the poor got poor

Something massive and important has happened in the United States over the past 50 years: Economic wealth has become increasingly concentrated among a small group of ultra-wealthy Americans.

You can read lengthy books on this subject, like economist Thomas Piketty’s recent best-seller, Capital in the Twenty-First Century (the book runs 696 pages and weighs in at 2.5 pounds). You can see references to this in the campaigns of major political candidates this cycle, who talk repeatedly about how something has gone very wrong in America.

Donald Trump’s motto is to make America great again, while Bernie Sanders’s campaign has focused on reducing income inequality. And there’s a reason this message is resonating with voters:

It’s grounded in 50 years of reality.

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26 mayo, 2016
por Felipe Sahagún
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Africa and its wars (maps and graphics)

Photo published for Africa And Its Wars

Africa And Its Wars

I have settled in – if settled is what it can be called. It’s funny, things no longer seem exotic; or, more accurately, my idea of ‘exotic’ seems to have changed. A new place – that is all, for now…

Africa And Its Warshttps://joelhirst.wordpress.com/2016/05/04/africa-and-its-wars/  via @JoelHirst

25 mayo, 2016
por Felipe Sahagún
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On the battle lost (S Alesievich’s Nobel speech)


Photo published for Review: In ‘Secondhand Time,’ Voices From a Lost Russia

Review: In ‘Secondhand Time,’ Voices From a Lost Russia

This oral history by Svetlana Alexievich, the Nobel laureate, examines how life after the Soviet Union’s collapse led to the rise of a feral capitalism. nytimes.com

Dwight Garner reviews Nobel Prize winner Svetlana Alexievich’s “Secondhand Time: The Last of the Soviets.” http://nyti.ms/247FSKA 

24 mayo, 2016
por Felipe Sahagún
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The citizen-soldier (by Phil Klay)

Photo published for The citizen-soldier: Moral risk and the modern military

The citizen-soldier: Moral risk and the modern military

In this Brookings Essay, National Book Award winner, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran, Phil Klay sheds light on the tension and relationship between veterans and society. In his first non-fiction work…

brookings.edu

Excellent essay from @BrookingsInst The Citizen-Soldier. Moral Risk and the Modern -by PHIL KLAYhttp://goo.gl/vJYrRQ 

Returning home from Iraq’s Anbar Province in 2008, I was proud of the work my fellow Marines had done and hopeful for the future. Many of us felt that way. After all, Anbar had gone from seemingly endless violence to a region of open markets and greater security. And if you’ve known friends who’ve died trying to help make that happen, you welcome any evidence they haven’t died in vain.

But the intervening years have forced a reckoning, not just about the physical or psychological aftermath of war, but about the moral relationship we have with the wars our nation continues to fight long after we’ve left the service.

I’ve written often about the experience of the modern veteran, and in a new Brookings Essay, I explore the dilemma faced by “citizen soldiers”:

www.brookings.edu/citizensoldier

This essay is my attempt to dig through my own experience and through the history of our country’s often fraught relationship with its own military to understand what it means to be an American in an age of perpetual war.

Read the essay here, and please join me in sharing it with friends and family on Facebook, or join the conversation on Twitter by using the hashtag #BrookingsEssay.

24 mayo, 2016
por Felipe Sahagún
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Major events you can expect this decade

The Polarization of American Politics Will Intensify

As the battle for the White House heats up, it’s becoming obvious that ideologically, Republicans and Democrats haven’t been this far apart since the Civil War—and the gap is growing.

No matter who lives at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave in the Decade of Disruption, this polarization will continue to dog a dysfunctional Congress, potentially leading to economic grief—see 2013’s fiscal-cliff melodrama.

The Fuse Will Reach the Powder Keg of Government Spending

By 2023, entitlement payments, military spending, and interest will consume 100% of tax revenues. The result? Trillions of dollars of spending cuts, tax increases, and runaway debt.

There have been few signals that candidates are willing to confront this impending crunch before their hands are forced—and all possible solutions will disrupt your life and convulse American society.

The Federal Reserve May Move to Negative Rates

The Fed’s plan to hike rates four times this year lies in the ruins of an ailing global economy. And this year, the Fed’s annual stress test on banks incorporates a scenario in which the interest rate on the three-month US Treasury bill becomes negative in Q2 2016 and then declines to -0.5%, languishing there until Q1 2019.

Could this mean the Fed is going to impose negative interest rates in the face of ongoing market fragility? Add in another recession and worldwide currency wars, and the Decade of Disruption is set to pitch severe challenges at your retirement savings and investment returns.

Wealth and Power Shifts from West to East

The end of the American Century has been heralded before, but the coming decade could hold the moment the United States melts from global superpower to just one of many countries.

And as the US looks increasingly inward, there will be a steady, unrelenting push for power from nations and economies worldwide—as well as a ramping up of the Age of Terror.

21st-Century Change Accelerates

New technologies promise to forever change your life—from your job, to your health, to how you spend your retirement.

And not all of these changes will be positive. For example, while new biotech innovations may defeat cancer, the victory could decimate swathes of the healthcare industry.

Investing in a Transformed World

The Decade of Disruption is potentially perilous for investors, with a combination of new and old threats, a world order spinning off its axis, and changing safe havens in the markets.

But despite the unnerving environment we will all be operating in, you can experience disruption positively.

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